The situation Dominique Strauss-Kahn managed to finds himself into is rather complex. What was shocking to me is that most of the French personalities interviewed immediately after the incident became public, said they felt sorry for Mr. Strauss-Kahn, his family and his political supporters. No one said they felt sorry for the maid. Remarkable!
For the time being, the IMF boss is facing three possibilities: He could really be guilty, he could have been set up or the maid could be lying, or both parties (he and the maid) could even be equally guilty, but that possibility would be a long stretch and the by-product of legal proceedings. With the excellent lawyers he has retained, he might be able to get Scot-free regardless of whether he's guilty or not. I'd say that if he's found guilty, he'll get a suspended sentence or a mistrial. Regardless of the outcome, he can kiss his chances of becoming French President good bye and will be lucky if he can finish his term at the helm of the IMF.
If you asked me what are the odds of all these outcomes, and with his checkered track-record and reputation, I would say that he is 60% likely to be found guilty, 20% of being cleared an another 20% of sharing the blame with the maid (thanks mostly to some clever maneuvering from his legal team.) We'll see and check my prognosis against actual results when the dust will have settled.
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1 comment:
I am still flabbergasted by the apparent stupidity of our (would be) leaders, whether this was a set up or not. And we would put the welfare of our nations in these hands?
Are all the good ones in the private sector or busy getting Nobel prizes (with some exceptions)?
Should we run ourselves to clean up this mess?
Bill
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