In this comparison, it’s easy to see that Biden’s margin of victory in 2020 was stronger than that of Trump in 2024 (4.40% vs. 1.50%) Also, in spite of an increase in population and eligible electorate, Biden received 81 million votes for 77 in the case of Trump.
So the difference is substantial and where did it go? This would suggest that if Trump did a better job increasing his number of supporters, Harris suffered a lack of support from her Democrat electorate that from the get-go wasn’t motivated by an excessively old candidate (Biden) and its weak replacement (Harris).
It’s a fact that, during the 2020 Primaries, Harris performance was also lackluster as she was one of the first ones to drop from the race and sure enough, Biden chose it because of her weakness.
In 2020 Trump lost to Biden because of his antics that were still fresh in everyone’s mind and of his Covid’s mismanagement. In retrospect, it’s helpful to remember that, during the 2008 Democratic Primaries that lined up Obama against Clinton and Biden, It’s Joe Biden who was the first to drop out of the Primary..
Still, in looking at an increased 36.1% abstention, the difference in that rate between 2020 and 2024 is a whopping 2.7% which shows that the Democratic electorate turned its back on Bidden/Harris by not voting because of the lackluster choice offered to them.
Finally, while Trump claims “having a mandate”, he only gets the support of 31.82% of the eligible voters!
Posts
No comments:
Post a Comment