Sunday, February 3, 2008

Race, gender, religion and elections

Funny, but the 2008 presidential election could be decided by race, gender or religion, but not – as it should - by issues (war in Iraq/financial crisis, health care, immigration, entitlements.) My sense is that Obama might lose the democratic nomination just simply because he’s black and that too many American are still plenty racist. Still, Obama has a strong following with women, but many may feel a strong sense of sisterhood and may vote for Clinton instead. As for the republicans, every candidate is fueled by religion as well as social values and because of that, of the two main contenders, the choice is likely to go in favor McCain simply because Romney and its Mormon affiliation is still scaring the be Jesus out of evangelical Christians and the rest of the republican electorate. So my prognostic is a Clinton vs. McCain election, with Clinton easily defeating the old soldier comes next November. Where’s my vote going to go to? Sorry, I won’t tell you.

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