Monday, July 11, 2016

Forecast #1: Winning in 2016

For this first exercise in forecasting, I am taking a shot at the upcoming 2016 Presidential election in forecasting who will get what.

In my opinion this is not truly a Presidential election with the two clowns that each party are going to nominate, but rather, he future make up of the Supreme Court will define who gets elected.

Since the two major party candidates are despised by most, there will be a dramatic shift of votes in favor of the normally, marginal parties. Are you ready? Here we go: Clinton: 42%, Trump 39%, Greg Johnson (Libertarian) 11% , Jill Stein (Green) 5%, all independents 3%. All based on popular vote.
Let's review this forecast on November 9th, right after the election...

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